Publication detail

The simulation of the future development of expenditure and revenue of the Czech pension security scheme up to 2050

Author(s): Mgr. Radka Štiková Ph.D., Michal Slavík
Type: Articles in journals with impact factor
Year: 2005
Number: 0
ISSN / ISBN: 0032-3233
Published in: Politická ekonomie 2/2005
Publishing place: Praha
JEL codes:
Suggested Citation:
Grants: IES Research Framework Institutional task (2005-2011) Integration of the Czech economy into European union and its development
Abstract: The long-term sustainability of the public finance in the context of population ageing is becoming a hot topic in most of the European countries including the Czech Republic. Moreover the Czech population will be one of the oldest in the world according to the forecasts of different institutions (UN, OECD, etc.). It poses challenge for the Czech pension security scheme. This paper presents possible scenarios of the future development and illustrates future fiscal impacts of the ageing assuming a preservation of the current Czech pension security scheme in the period up to 2050. The analysis is based on a detailed one-year age structure. This allows us to simulate the influence of the changes in component parameters of the current scheme on its future situation (for example, changes in retirement age limits). The main conclusion is that there is a rather small impact of these parameters changes on the expected future imbalance of the Czech pension system. Therefore a more fundamental reform of the current pension system should be considered.
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June 2023


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