Work detail

The impact of COVID-19 on election outcomes: The case of the Czech Republic

Author: Bc. Vojtěch Válek
Year: 2022 - summer
Leaders: Mgr. Barbara Pertold-Gebicka M.A., Ph.D.
Consultants:
Work type: Bachelors
Language: English
Pages: 58
Awards and prizes:
Link: https://dspace.cuni.cz/handle/20.500.11956/175424
Abstract: This thesis examines the relationship between the COVID-19 pandemic and the election
results in the 2021 parliamentary elections in the Czech Republic. Voter turnout together
with the results of several political parties is analyzed at the district level. First, the
election results of 2021 are examined separately using OLS regression, heteroskedasticity
is not detected in the model. A panel dataset is then created, which also includes election
results from 2013 and 2017. Based on the results of the Hausman test, the fxed efects
method is used to analyze the panel data, and the frst-diferencing method is used as well
for comparison. Pairs of years are then analyzed with the use of frst-diferencing, when
the results are frst estimated without 2013, and then without 2017. The results of the
analysis mainly show a signifcant relationship between the number of infected people and
the results of individual political parties. While for political party ANO this relationship
is negative, it is rather positive for the other political parties. The second dependent
variable of interest is the number of deaths related to COVID-19. In this case, the results
of the analysis do not indicate a signifcant connection with the election results.

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